Posted on May 13, 2025

XTech Research Hits the Mark Again: April CPI +0.2% MoM, +2.3% YoY

We called it—again.

Three weeks ago on April 22, XTech Research forecasted April CPI would rise +0.2% month-over-month and +2.3% year-over-year. Today’s BLS release confirmed those exact figures. By comparison, the consensus from 68 economists expected +0.3% MoM and +2.4% YoY.

This was true for March as well: we nailed the −0.1% MoM print nearly three weeks before the BLS report, while consensus missed it. Our data-driven, bottom-up approach—powered by alternative data and advanced machine learning—delivers early, accurate macro forecasts. We release our initial CPI projections on the third Monday of each month, giving clients a critical edge, and continually update them as new data arrives.

For access, email sales@exponential-tech.ai.

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