Insights
July 2026 CPI Forecast
July CPI lands August 12. The energy drag is fading, not deepening — we forecast a flat 0.0% headline and 2.4% core, both under consensus.
Market impact: measured, not assumed
Level 3 evidence that the Almgren-Chriss temporary impact coefficient moves, decays and depends on the counterparty.
Investor Analytics by Investor Type, Now as a Factor: Introducing XTech Flow Factors
Institutional and Retail Participation Share: cross-sectional equity flow factors that read who is trading a name, for systematic and fundamental investors.
Both Sides of the Order Book: Speculators and Hedgers Move Global Futures — and XTech Now Measures Both
XTech models both sides of global futures flow—trend-following CTAs and the producer hedgers who fade them—at 71% and 74% weekly accuracy vs CFTC COT.
BMLL and Exponential partner to deliver new class of investor-flow analytics
BMLL and Exponential Technology launch XTech US Equity Flow: investor-flow analytics decoding institutional, market-maker and retail activity.
June 2026 CPI Forecast
June 2026 CPI forecast: XTech sees a flat headline (+0.0% MoM) while consensus says −0.1%. Gas drives the drop; core holds at +0.3%. Our read before July 14.
SpaceX IPO: Who Accumulated, Who Distributed, and Who Absorbed the Selling
SpaceX IPO flow analysis: across SPCX's first four sessions, institutions accumulated a $12.2B position, then sold into the pullback as retail kept buying.
Micron Flow Study: A Stress Test of the 13F Blind Spot
A 26-month longitudinal study of Micron Technology institutional flow versus SEC Form 13F filings, quantifying XTech Flow's 60–120 day signal lead
May 2026 CPI Forecast
The Iran war sent gasoline to its biggest CPI surge since 1967. XTech tracks May 2026 CPI weekly ahead of the June BLS release.
GME / EBAY: Acquisition Announcement Triggers Historic Retail-Institutional Flow Divergence on Both Sides of a Deal
Institutional vs. retail flow divergence on a live M&A event. GME and EBAY 1-minute flow decomposition with backtestable hypotheses for quant event-driven strategies.
Q1 2026: How XTech's CPI Forecast Performed Through the Most Volatile Inflation Quarter Since 2022
XTech's Q1 2026 CPI forecast tracked every BLS print within 10 basis points—including the March Strait of Hormuz energy shock and +0.9% headline surge.
Flow-Based Strategies Deliver Sortino 2.69 With Near-Zero Beta Across Three Holding Periods
Participant-classified equity flows deliver Sortino 2.69, Sharpe 1.66, and near-zero beta across 1-, 10-, and 60-day horizons. Out-of-sample, 2014–2025.
Intel (INTC): $9.5B Institutional Accumulation Arc — Then Distribution Into the Earnings Gap
Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) registered one of the most dramatic institutional accumulation arcs in the 26-session observation window — and then sold into the earnings rally it helped create.
IBM Flow Intelligence: Institutional Accumulation-to-Distribution Reversal on Q1 2026 Earnings
IBM institutional flow analysis: $1.37B detrended cumulative reversal around Q1 2026 earnings, with a 6.23σ retail divergence. 1-min flow decomposition case study.
IONQ Flow Intelligence: $2.58B Institutional Inflow and a 6.83-Sigma Swing in Two Sessions
Analyze IONQ’s $2.58B institutional flow and 6.83-sigma swing (April 14–15, 2026). Explore how DARPA contracts and photonic milestones drove record +4.97 Z-score flows.
Goldman Sachs (GS): Institutional Flow Signaled the Earnings-Day Reversal Before the Tape Did
GS closed -1.87% on a Q1 earnings beat. XTech Flow decomposition shows institutional distribution of $1.47B signaled the reversal before the tape confirmed it.
April 2026 CPI Forecast
April 2026 CPI forecast from XTech: ML model calls headline +3.59%, core +2.6% MoM YoY— both below consensus. 20 days ahead of the May 12 BLS release.
Delta Air Lines (DAL): $2.3 Billion Institutional Distribution Arc Persists Through Earnings Beat and US-Iran Ceasefire
DAL flow analysis by investor type: $2.3B institutional distribution arc persisted through Q1 earnings beat and US-Iran ceasefire. 1-min flow decomposition case study.
March 2026 CPI Forecast
March 2026 CPI Forecast: XTech projects +3.2% MoM headline and +2.5% core. Full macro research on gasoline and shelter ahead of the April 10 BLS release.
