Insights
January 2026 CPI Forecast
Discover XTech’s 1st Forecast for the January 2026 CPI: Headline +2.3% YoY, Core +2.4 YoY. Learn why our machine learning models outperform consensus by 50% and how to position your portfolio for the "higher for longer" regime
The $2.5 Billion Retail Trap: How Institutions Exited Abbott Before the Collapse
How institutional investors exited Abbott Labs 5 weeks before the 10% earnings collapse while retail bought the dip. Real-time equity flow analysis reveals the divergence.
Institutions Loaded $1.47 Billion Into Moderna Before 15.8% Cancer Vaccine Surge—Retail Missed It Entirely
While retail traders were sidelined, institutions quietly loaded $1.47 billion into Moderna (MRNA) ahead of its 15.8% surge. Discover how smart money positioned for the breakthrough cancer vaccine data
The Hidden Language of Markets: How Order Flow Analysis Reveals What Price Charts Can't
Unlock the hidden story behind price charts. Discover how order flow analysis identifies institutional and retail footprints to predict market moves with high accuracy.
Decoding Realtime Order Book Dynamics To Capture Long-term Alpha
Discover durable alpha across 1-120 day horizons using order book dynamics. Our ML study validates 1.66 Sharpe ratios and persistent risk-adjusted returns.
Turning Real-Time Macro Forecasts Into Profitable Macro Trades
Access an empirical evaluation of CPI-driven macro trading signals. Trade liquid FX and fixed-income futures with a persistent, statistically robust edge.
Real-Time Macro Forecasts Significantly Outperform Consensus CPI Estimates
Access an empirical analysis of XTech’s real-time macro forecasting performance. Learn why our CPI estimates significantly outperform consensus and top economists.
When TSMC's $16B Profit Beat Exposed Who Really Saw the AI Boom Coming
When Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company announced record Q4 earnings on Thursday, January 15, 2026, retail traders celebrated. Another 5-7% gap-up.
They bought $16.6 million that day. Below their 60-day average. Meanwhile, institutions were essentially flat. Net flow: -$39 million. Z-score: -0.05. But here's what makes this different from every other earnings beat you've seen this cycle: Institutions weren't buying on earnings day because they'd already positioned five weeks earlier.
Netflix Warner Bros Merger: Why Retail Lost 11.7% While Institutions Dumped $11 Billion
When Netflix announced an $82.7 billion bid to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery on Friday, December 5, 2025, retail traders saw opportunity. They poured in with conviction, Z-scores hitting +4.20 standard deviations—a statistical extreme that occurs approximately once in every 15,787 trading sessions.
Decoding Realtime Order Book Dynamics To Predict SEC Form 13F Filings.
By isolating institutional from retail flows, our model successfully predicted net 13F direction for S&P 500 stocks.
XTech Nails December 2025 Core CPI at 2.6%: Consensus Missed, We Didn't
XTech called core CPI at 2.6% weeks early. Consensus expected 2.7% and missed. Our two-forecast system delivers advance inflation intelligence when markets need it most.
Capital One: Retail Traders Bought the Crash at 6-Sigma Levels While Institutions Had Already Left
Capital One crashed 6.42% after Trump's rate cap announcement. Flow data revealed institutions exited days before while retail bought at 5.45 Z-score extremes.
XTech's December CPI Forecast: Trading 10-Year JGBs on Below-Consensus Signal
XTech predicts December CPI at +0.1% vs consensus +0.3%. Discover how our below-consensus forecast creates a 10-Year JGB trading opportunity with 72% historical win rate.
The $721 Million Warning: How Institutions Exited Blackstone 19 Days Before Trump's Housing Ban
Flow data shows institutions dumped $721M in Blackstone 19 days before Trump's housing ban. See how proprietary analytics revealed the December 19 exodus.
The SanDisk Parabola: After 880% Rally and 28% CES Surge, Flow Data Shows Retail and Institutions Both Bought the Top
SanDisk surged 28% on Nvidia's CES keynote—but flow data reveals both retail and institutions bought at $350 after an 880% rally. Convergence or top?
Venezuela Operation: The Halliburton Case Study - How Flow Data Caught Institutions Selling Into Retail FOMO
Halliburton (HAL) flow data reveals institutions positioned one day before Venezuela operation, then sold 6.7x what retail bought. See how equity flow exposed the $110B information asymmetry.
The Meta-Manus Deal: How Flow Data Caught Institutions Selling the News 10 Days Early
How did institutions know? Meta's $2B Manus deal gained only 1.1% because smart money distributed -$6.24B on Dec 19—10 days before announcement. Flow data revealed it all.
2026 Inflation Outlook: XTech's December Forecast Shows Disinflation Holding Steady
After November's surprise 2.6% core inflation, XTech December forecast shows it's holding steady—not bouncing back. Fed expands balance sheet. 2026 outlook.
The Rocket Lab Reversal: How Flow Data Caught Retail Buying the Dip—Then Selling the Validation
Flow data revealed Rocket Lab (RKLB) retail investors bought a falling knife Dec 15, then sold the $816M defense contract validation Dec 19. Institutions did the opposite.






























































