Posted on May 20, 2025

XTech Research Forecasts Headline CPI to Rise +0.1% MoM!

XTech Research, a leader in global-macro forecasting, projects that the May 2025 CPI will increase by +0.1% MoM and +2.4% YoY. This forecast was generated on May 20th.

For the March 2025 CPI, XTech was the only economist to correctly forecast an unexpected decline — calling the exact -0.1% drop nearly three weeks before the official release, while consensus later pointed to an increase of +0.1%. For the April 2025 CPI, we were again ahead of the curve, accurately forecasting a 0.2% increase when consensus incorrectly expected a higher 0.3% rise. These results reinforce the strength of our data-driven approach to macroeconomic forecasting.

Our CPI forecasts are released on the third Monday of each month and updated as new data comes in — offering clients nearly a month of lead time.

Exponential leverages alternative data and machine learning to deliver accurate, early macroeconomic forecasts.

Subscribers receive CPI projections weeks ahead of the official release, plus real-time updates.

For access, email sales@exponential-tech.ai.

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