When a stock trading at 200x forward earnings beats expectations and still falls, something deeper is happening beneath the surface. What you might not know is who was buying—and who was selling.

The generative AI boom has created an unprecedented demand for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM). What you might not know is who's accumulating positions right now—and why they're doing it before you see the price move.

We're honored to be highlighted in Gary's latest Forbes piece examining the stark reality facing enterprises: despite billions invested in AI, most projects never deliver value. Read the key insights.

This piece focuses on examining exactly how the regulatory reporting lag creates a massive information asymmetry, what it costs institutional investors, and how real-time flow intelligence eliminates this blind spot.

August CPI: Where We Missed, What We Learned We aim for accuracy and believe in intellectual honesty—so we’re upfront about both our wins and our lessons. Our August forecast was +0.27% MoM and +2.8% YoY, but CPI printed higher: +0.4% MoM and +2.9% YoY, driven by a stubborn jump in shelter costs. Our recent track record: • March-May: Three consecutive months of perfect calls, nailing the official results while consensus was off. • June: One humbling miss as unforeseen geopolitical events...

Today's Missing Jobs Report could just be the Beginning It's Friday, October 3rd, 2025, and Wall Street is flying blind. The Bureau of...

How Exponential Technology Finally Solved the Institutional Transparency Problem Every day, billions of shares change hands across global equity markets. Yet for all the sophisticated analytics available to institutional investors, one critical question has remained frustratingly opaque: Who is actually behind each trade? Portfolio managers, risk officers, and quantitative researchers have been forced to operate in a fog of uncertainty, speculating about institutional rotation, retail...

In institutional finance, where split-second decisions can mean the difference between alpha generation...

XTech Research Forecasts Headline CPI to Rise +0.27% MoM! XTech Research, a leader in global-macro forecasting, projects that the August 2025 CPI will increase by +0.27% month-over-month and +2.8% year-over-year, based on its forecast made on August 19, 2025. XTech’s machine learning and alternative data approach have consistently delivered more accurate forecasts than consensus, reflecting the precision of its data-driven methodology. Exponential leverages alternative data and machine...

XTech Research Nails Both MoM and YoY CPI Forecasts! On July 25, 2025 XTech Research, a leader in global‑macro forecasting, projected a July 2025 CPI increase of +0.2% month‑over‑month and +2.7% year‑over‑year. In comparison, consensus expectations were +0.2% MoM and +2.8% YoY this morning. Today’s official release matched XTech’s month‑over‑month projection and came in at +2.7% YoY— meaning consensus missed the YoY forecast, while XTech accurately captured both core directional trends 18...

XTech Research Forecasts Headline CPI to Rise +0.2% MoM! XTech Research, a leader in global-macro forecasting, projects that the July 2025 CPI will increase by +0.2% month-over-month and +2.7% year-over-year. XTech’s machine learning and alternative data approach have consistently delivered more accurate forecasts than consensus, reflecting the precision of its data-driven methodology. Exponential leverages alternative data and machine learning to deliver accurate, early macroeconomic...

XTech Research, collaborating with Allvue Systems—a leading cloud-based software provider for private capital and credit markets—announces an impactful private credit use case. Exponential Technology helps enterprises unlock AI’s potential by converting fragmented, underutilized data into powerful analytics on AI-ready infrastructure. We unify silos, standardize access, and deliver value—from institutional investment signals to enterprise-wide automated data solutions. Allvue Systems is a...

Host:  Welcome to the deep dive. Today we're uh jumping into something I find really fascinating is predicting the future, especially economic trends. I mean, even the best models and most sophisticated ones can get thrown off, right, by something totally unexpected. So, for this deep dive, we're taking a really close look as a specific case. It's about the consumer price index, the CPI for June. The forecast didn't quite uh hit the mark, and our mission really is to unpack why. We've got an...

LSEG and Exponential's CPI First Forecast model for June 2025 projected a headline consumer price index (CPI) increase of +0.2% month-over-month. However, the actual CPI figure released this morning came in at +0.3% month-over-month, representing a modest but notable miss. The primary source of this deviation was the gasoline category, where our model predicted a decline of 0.38% versus an actual increase of 1%. This discrepancy can be traced to a significant late-month event that our...

Wyatt Anderson:  Thank you for joining us today, Timmy. We're here to discuss the recent economic forecasts, particularly the June CPI numbers, and how certain unexpected factors have significantly swayed them. To start, could you walk us through the initial forecast for the June CPI headline number versus what was actually reported? Timmy Cai:  Absolutely, Wyatt. Our CPI first forecast current model had predicted a +0.2% MoM for the headline June number. However, the actual figure that came...

Exponential Technology’s CPI First Forecast model for June 2025 projected a headline consumer price index (CPI) increase of +0.2% month-over-month. However, the actual CPI figure released this morning came in at +0.3% month-over-month, representing a modest but notable miss. The primary source of this deviation was the gasoline category, where our model predicted a decline of 0.38% versus an actual increase of 1%. This discrepancy can be traced to a significant late-month event that our...

Speaker 1 : Welcome to the deep dive. We're the show where we take your sources, we peel back the layers, and uh really pull out those crucial nuggets of knowledge for you. That's the goal. Today, we're plunging into well, the pretty fascinating world of financial market data. Specifically, how information from futures and options trading helps us really grasp market dynamics. Yeah, it's a complex picture. We've gathered a stack of insights, you know, ranging from those established regulatory...

Speaker 1:  Beneath the surface of every stock price, you know, every single trade, there's kind of a hidden language at play. It's a language of powerful, often unseen signals guiding market movements, almost as if the stock market is uh whispering secrets. And if you know how to listen, well, you can gain a significant edge. It's absolutely true. I mean, despite the common perception that financial markets are perfectly efficient, they consistently leave these subtle yet incredibly...

Speaker 1:  Beneath the surface of every stock price, every single trade, there's a hidden language at play. It's um it's a language of powerful, often unseen signals guiding market movements. Almost as if the stock market is whispering secrets and if you know how to listen, you know, you can gain a significant edge. It's absolutely true. I mean, despite the common perception that financial markets are perfectly efficient, they consistently leave these subtle yet incredibly informative...

Welcome to the deep dive, the show where we try to cut through all that financial noise to uncover, well, the hidden signals. Today, we're really digging into how experts are actually figuring out what truly drives stock returns. You know, going way beyond just the daily headlines. Our mission really is to take you on this fascinating deep dive. We want to look at how researchers and practitioners are identifying the real predictors of stock performance. Exactly. We'll start with some uh...