Insights
How Flow Data Revealed BitMine's Crypto Collapse Before the Headlines
Institutional flow data showed BitMine's 12.6% crash 11 days early. Institutions dumped $300M+ while retail accumulated. See the exact warning signals.
XTech November 2025 CPI Forecast: What the Numbers Mean When the Data Is Broken
Exponential Technology forecasts November 2025 CPI at +0.33% MoM amid historic BLS data crisis. Fed decides Dec 10—before official data releases Dec 18.
The +11% Trade Only Flow Data Saw Coming: How $180M of Distribution Set Up Broadcom's Breakout
See how $180M of hidden distribution set up Broadcom's 11% breakout. While the market watched Burry, real-time flow data signaled the surge.
XTech CPI Forecasts vs. Consensus: 40% More Accurate AND 15 Days Earlier
XTech CPI forecasts achieve 44% hit rate 20 days before release vs. consensus 32% at 12 days. 95-month analysis proves alternative data outperforms traditional forecasts.
How Real-Time Flow Data Revealed Nvidia's True Story: When The 'Big Short' Met the AI Revolution
What the Flow Data Revealed About Nvidia's Earnings Paradox
Let's look at what actually happened in the four weeks from October 20 to November 19, 2025—from Nvidia's all-time high through Burry's disclosure to its earnings beat.
The daily flow charts (below) tell a remarkably clear story:
Pattern: Peak Euphoria → Burry Panic → Distribution Into Earnings
How Real-Time Flow Data Revealed Dell's 10% Drop Two Weeks Before Morgan Stanley's Downgrade
Let's look at what actually happened in the two weeks surrounding Dell's collapse.
The daily flow charts (below) tell a remarkably clear story:
Pattern: Retail Catches the Falling Knife
The Mouse Trap: Flow Data Caught Disney's $18 Billion Collapse While Retail Bought the Earnings Beat
What the Flow Data Revealed About Disney's Earnings Move. Let's look at what actually happened on November 13, 2025, when Disney reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results.
The daily and intraday flow charts tell a remarkably clear story:
Pattern: Retail FOMO Meets Institutional Distribution
How our Monthly CPI Predictions Drive Near-Monthly USD/JPY Trades with 66% Win Rate
In this article, you'll discover:
1. XTech's October 2025 CPI forecast
2. a detailed backtest of a USD/JPY futures trading strategy that exploits the information edge from early CPI forecasts
3. how institutional traders are systematically monetizing the gap between alternative data forecasts and market expectations.
How Flow Data Revealed Institutions' Double Play on Xpeng's Rally
Xpeng's November AI Day showcase sparked an 18% rally, but flow data revealed institutions executing a sophisticated two-phase strategy. They sold into the robotics hype on November 3-4, then watched retail FOMO push the stock from $23 to $26 during November 5-9. On November 10, exactly 7 days before earnings, institutions aggressively bought back
How Real-Time Flow Data Revealed the Palantir Sell-Off Before It Happened
When a stock trading at 200x forward earnings beats expectations and still falls, something deeper is happening beneath the surface. What you might not know is who was buying—and who was selling.
The HBM Bottleneck: Why Real-Time Flow Data Matters Now
The generative AI boom has created an unprecedented demand for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM). What you might not know is who's accumulating positions right now—and why they're doing it before you see the price move.
Why do 95% of AI projects fail?
We're honored to be highlighted in Gary's latest Forbes piece examining the stark reality facing enterprises: despite billions invested in AI, most projects never deliver value. Read the key insights.
The 13F Blind Spot: Why Institutional Flow Data Arrives 135 Days Too Late (And How to Fix It)
This piece focuses on examining exactly how the regulatory reporting lag creates a massive information asymmetry, what it costs institutional investors, and how real-time flow intelligence eliminates this blind spot.
August CPI Forecast Compared to Release
August CPI: Where We Missed, What We Learned We aim for accuracy and believe in intellectual honesty—so we’re upfront about both our wins and our lessons. Our August forecast was +0.27% MoM and +2.8% YoY, but CPI printed higher: +0.4% MoM and +2.9% YoY, driven by a stubborn jump in shelter costs. Our recent track record: • March-May: Three consecutive months of perfect calls, nailing the official results while consensus was off. • June: One humbling miss as unforeseen geopolitical events...
When Government Data Goes Dark: The Looming CPI Crisis Investors Can't Ignore
Today's Missing Jobs Report could just be the Beginning It's Friday, October 3rd, 2025, and Wall Street is flying blind. The Bureau of...
Real-Time Order Flow Analysis: Decoding the Market's Best-Kept Secret
How Exponential Technology Finally Solved the Institutional Transparency Problem Every day, billions of shares change hands across global equity markets. Yet for all the sophisticated analytics available to institutional investors, one critical question has remained frustratingly opaque: Who is actually behind each trade? Portfolio managers, risk officers, and quantitative researchers have been forced to operate in a fog of uncertainty, speculating about institutional rotation, retail...
When Milliseconds Matter
In institutional finance, where split-second decisions can mean the difference between alpha generation...
August CPI Forecast
XTech Research Forecasts Headline CPI to Rise +0.27% MoM! XTech Research, a leader in global-macro forecasting, projects that the August 2025 CPI will increase by +0.27% month-over-month and +2.8% year-over-year, based on its forecast made on August 19, 2025. XTech’s machine learning and alternative data approach have consistently delivered more accurate forecasts than consensus, reflecting the precision of its data-driven methodology. Exponential leverages alternative data and machine...
XTech Correctly Predicts July CPI
XTech Research Nails Both MoM and YoY CPI Forecasts! On July 25, 2025 XTech Research, a leader in global‑macro forecasting, projected a July 2025 CPI increase of +0.2% month‑over‑month and +2.7% year‑over‑year. In comparison, consensus expectations were +0.2% MoM and +2.8% YoY this morning. Today’s official release matched XTech’s month‑over‑month projection and came in at +2.7% YoY— meaning consensus missed the YoY forecast, while XTech accurately captured both core directional trends 18...
XTech July CPI Forecast
XTech Research Forecasts Headline CPI to Rise +0.2% MoM! XTech Research, a leader in global-macro forecasting, projects that the July 2025 CPI will increase by +0.2% month-over-month and +2.7% year-over-year. XTech’s machine learning and alternative data approach have consistently delivered more accurate forecasts than consensus, reflecting the precision of its data-driven methodology. Exponential leverages alternative data and machine learning to deliver accurate, early macroeconomic...






























































